The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.5% for Clinton, and 41.5% for Trump in New Jersey. In comparison, on November 4, Clinton was predicted to achieve 59.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently achieves 0.0% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in New Jersey. This value is 58.5 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Crosstab model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Jersey. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 5.8 percentage points higher.