Crosstab model in Nevada: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 50.5% for Clinton, and 49.5% for Trump in Nevada.

Nevada is traditionally a battleground state, where Democrats and Republicans have historically achieved similar levels of support among voters. This is the reason why the election outcome here is viewed as crucial in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they may include substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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