Crosstab model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 38.3% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, whereas Trump will win 61.7%. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was predicted to achieve 60.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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