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Crosstab model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead


The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 39.3% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, whereas Trump will win 60.8%. In comparison, on November 3 Trump was still predicted to achieve 61.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

Trump is currently at 0.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Nebraska. This value is 60.8 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the Crosstab model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nebraska. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 13.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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