Crosstab model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 54.8% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, while Trump will end up with 45.2%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect 55.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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