Crosstab model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 54.8% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, while Trump will end up with 45.2%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect 55.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.