Crosstab model in Michigan: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 54.7% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, while Trump will end up with 45.3%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 54.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in Michigan. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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