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Crosstab model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead


The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 37.1% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will win 62.9%. In comparison, on November 3 Trump was still predicted to collect 63.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Trump currently runs at 0.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Kentucky. In comparison to his numbers in the Crosstab model Trump's econometric model average is 62.9 percentage points lower.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 15.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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