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Crosstab model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 40.9% for Clinton, and 59.2% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect 41.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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