Crosstab model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.9% for Clinton, and 57.1% for Trump in Indiana. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to end up with 43.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.