Crosstab model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.9% for Clinton, and 57.1% for Trump in Indiana. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to end up with 43.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.