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Crosstab model in Illinois: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 59.3% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will end up with 40.7%. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was still predicted to garner 41.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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