The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 58.9% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 41.1%. In comparison, on November 3, Clinton was predicted to achieve 59.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Illinois has Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 58.9 percentage points lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Illinois. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Illinois. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 6.2 percentage points higher.