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Crosstab model in Illinois: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 58.9% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 41.1%. In comparison, on November 3, Clinton was predicted to achieve 59.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Illinois has Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 58.9 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Illinois. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Illinois. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 6.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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