Crosstab model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 48.3% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will end up with 51.7%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect only 47.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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