Crosstab model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 48.3% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will end up with 51.7%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect only 47.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.