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Crosstab model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 47.9% for Clinton, and 52.1% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on November 4 Trump was predicted to collect 51.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they often contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Georgia econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 0.0%. This value is 52.1 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the Crosstab model. The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote in Georgia. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 4.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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