Crosstab model in Florida: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 50.8% of the two-party vote share in Florida, whereas Trump will win 49.2%.

Florida is traditionally a battleground state, where the two major political parties have historically gained similar levels of support among voters. Hence, the election outcome here is considered critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, since they may contain large biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 51.1% of the two-party vote in Florida. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Florida.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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