Crosstab model in Florida: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.0% for Clinton, and 49.0% for Trump in Florida.

In Florida, the popular vote is often close. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 51.2% of the two-party vote in Florida. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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