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Crosstab model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 59.7% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will win 40.3%. In comparison, on November 3, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 59.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Delaware econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 0.0%. This value is 59.7 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Crosstab model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.6% of the two-party vote in Delaware. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 7.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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