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Crosstab model in California: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 63.4% of the two-party vote share in California, whereas Trump will end up with 36.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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