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Crosstab model in California: Clinton is in the lead


The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 63.5% for Clinton, and 36.5% for Trump in California. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was predicted to garner 36.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may include substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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