The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 63.5% for Clinton, and 36.5% for Trump in California. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was predicted to garner 36.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may include substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.