Crosstab model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 43.9% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will end up with 56.1%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to gain 44.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Alaska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.