Crosstab model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 43.9% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will end up with 56.1%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to gain 44.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Alaska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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