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Crosstab model: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.4% for Clinton, and 47.6% for Trump. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was still predicted to achieve 47.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 50.3%. Compared to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.1 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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