Connecticut: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 57.9% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will end up with 42.1%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain large biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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