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Connecticut: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead


The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 57.9% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will end up with 42.1%. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was predicted to collect 41.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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