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Connecticut: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead


The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.3% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will end up with 41.7%. In comparison, on November 3 Trump was still predicted to achieve 42.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 0.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Connecticut. Relative to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 58.3 percentage points lower.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 5.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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