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Colorado: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.3% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will win 47.7%.

In Colorado, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly regarded as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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