The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.3% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will win 47.7%.
In Colorado, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly regarded as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.