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Colorado: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.6% for Clinton, and 47.4% for Trump in Colorado.

Historically, Colorado has been a swing state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Therefore, predictions in this state are of particular interest.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Colorado econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 0.0%. Relative to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 52.6 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 0.1 percentage points lower.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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