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Clinton leads in Maryland by 33 points in latest PPP (D) poll

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PPP (D) published the results of a new poll on November 6. In this poll, respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

PPP (D) poll results
61

Clinton

28

Trump

According to the results, 61.0% of participants are going to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from April 15 to April 17, among a random sample of 879 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.3 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 68.5% for Clinton and 31.5% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

An average of recent polls in Maryland sees Clinton at 69.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.9 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the PPP (D) poll. This deviation is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 2.5 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error indicates that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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