Clinton in the lead, according to latest PollyVote forecast

The combined PollyVote today forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.6% for Clinton and 47.4% for Trump.

This is what Polly's component methods predict

The component methods have all come to the same conclusion. All prediction models expect Clinton to win.

Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.7% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 50.2% the econometric models differ the most from the PollyVote forecast.

Compared to the previous week there have been the largest changes in the prediction markets. Clinton loses 2.7 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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