California: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 65.5% for Clinton, and 34.5% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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