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Arkansas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 38.5% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will end up with 61.5%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect only 38.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.4% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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