The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 48.1% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will end up with 51.9%. In comparison, on November 6, Clinton was predicted to collect only 47.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they may include large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 51.9% of the two-party vote in Arizona.