Alabama: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 39.6% for Clinton, and 60.4% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to win 40.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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