The 538 (polls-plus) model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 51.5% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 48.5%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect only 51.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 50.2%. Compared to her numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.3 percentage points lower.
The 538 (polls-plus) model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the 538 (polls-plus) model.