538 (polls-plus) model shows Clinton in the lead
The 538 (polls-plus) model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.9% for Clinton, and 48.1% for Trump. In comparison, on November 1, Clinton was predicted to gain 52.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, since they often contain substantial biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 50.3%. This value is 1.6 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
The 538 (polls-plus) model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the 538 (polls-plus) model.