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South Carolina: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 44.3% for Clinton, and 55.7% for Trump in South Carolina.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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