Remington Research (R) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Wisconsin were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
Remington Research (R) poll results
According to the results, 46.0% of interviewees will give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 42.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from October 30 to October 30, among a random sample of 1172 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.9 percentage points. This means that the poll results for the two candidates do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls can contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, you should use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 52.3% for Clinton and 47.7% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 1.3 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's margin of error.