What course would the US presidential election probably take at the national level? This question was presented to political scientists by the PollyVote team.
The expert survey was carried out between October 29 and October 31. The sample size was 13 scientists from a variety of colleges and universities. The experts’ mean forecast is that Clinton will achieve 52.7% of the national major-party vote. On October 15 Clinton obtained 54.7% in the PollyVote.Com expert survey and Trump obtained only 45.3%.
The expert survey in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.1% of the two-party vote. The expert survey result for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.