The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will end up with 43.4%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.4% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.