Oklahoma: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 35.7% for Clinton, and 64.3% for Trump in Oklahoma.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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