The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 49.1% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, whereas Trump will win 50.9%.
Ohio is traditionally a battleground state, where Democrats and Republicans have historically achieved similar levels of voter support. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is viewed as critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 49.3% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 1.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.