New York: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 64.7% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will win 35.3%.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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