The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 64.7% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will end up with 35.3%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.