The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 63.9% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will win 36.1%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to achieve 36.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may include large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.