New Mexico: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 55.8% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, whereas Trump will end up with 44.2%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win only 55.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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