The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 55.8% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, whereas Trump will end up with 44.2%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win only 55.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.