New Jersey: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 59.3% for Clinton, and 40.7% for Trump in New Jersey. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 59.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.6% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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