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Montana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead


The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 41.4% of the two-party vote share in Montana, whereas Trump will win 58.6%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to collect only 40.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they may incorporate substantial biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.5% of the two-party vote in Montana. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Montana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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