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Mississippi: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 45.5% for Clinton, and 54.6% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win 45.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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