The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 45.5% for Clinton, and 54.6% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win 45.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.