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Michigan: Small advantage for Clinton in new FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll

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Results of a new poll carried out by FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell were circulated. The poll asked interviewees from Michigan for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll results
50

Clinton

44

Trump

Of those who responded, 50.0% said that they intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was in the field between October 25 and October 25. The sample size was 1030 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-2.8 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 53.2% for Clinton and 46.8% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Michigan polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 54.1%. This value is 0.9 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll. This difference is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Michigan. That is, Polly's forecast is 0.9 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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