Massachusetts: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 66.4% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, whereas Trump will win 33.6%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to collect only 66.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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