Massachusetts: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 66.4% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, whereas Trump will win 33.6%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to collect only 66.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.