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Maryland: Huge lead for Clinton in new Goucher College poll

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Goucher College published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Goucher College poll results
58

Clinton

25

Trump

The results show that 58.0% of respondents will cast a ballot for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 25.0% intend to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 17 to September 20 among 514 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.3 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be treated with caution, because they can include large biases. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. The corresponding figures are 69.9% for Clinton and 30.1% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

Clinton currently achieves 69.4% of the two-party vote in an average of recent polls in Maryland. This value is 0.5 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Goucher College poll. This difference is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that the combined PollyVote is 3.9 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error indicates that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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