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Maryland: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 68.3% for Clinton, and 31.7% for Trump in Maryland. In comparison, on November 1 Trump was still predicted to garner 31.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.2% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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